Here's when the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in 2024 (2024)

The Federal Reserve is meeting again from April 30 to May 1, 2024, and consumers are looking to see if interest rates will be lowered. At its March 2024 gathering the Fed decided to keep the federal funds target rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, where it has remained since July 2023.

To combat ongoing inflation, the rate was raised 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023. Inflation has started to recede, but the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has signaled it wants more positive data before pulling the trigger.

After the last meeting meeting, the Fed predicted three quarter-point cuts by the end of this year. As time goes on, however, that becomes less of a certainty.

Some economists have even suggested rates won't budge until March 2025.

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When will interest rates go down?

  • When will the Fed cut interest rates?
  • What is the federal funds rate?
  • What you should do while waiting for rates to go down
  • What you should do when rates go down
  • FAQ
  • Bottom line

When will the Fed cut interest rates?

The FOMC meets eight times a year to discuss whether to adjust the federal funds rate, a benchmark that governs overnight lending between commercial banks. Led by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the group of 12 considers inflation, employment and the rate of borrowing, among other economic factors.

The FOMC has met twice in 2024, first in January and then again in March. Since then, the Fed has predicted three quarter-percentage cuts throughout 2024, but only if the market allows.

The remaining FOMC meetings this year are:

  • April 30 and May 1, 2024
  • June 11 and June 12, 2024
  • July 30 and July 31, 2024
  • Sept. 17 and Sept. 18, 2024
  • Nov. 6 and Nov. 7, 2024
  • Dec. 17 and Dec. 18, 2024

Compare to find the best investing resources

What is the federal funds rate?

The Federal Reserve requires banks and other depository institutions to hold 10% of their deposits in reserve. To stay as close to that threshold as possible without dipping below, banks will loan each other money back and forth.

The FOMC sets the interest rate the banks can charge each other, known as the federal funds rate. So they can continue to make a profit, banks then adjust the interest rates they charge consumers.

The fed fund rate has been 5.25% to 5.50% since July 2023. That's the highest since January 2001, when it rocketed to 6.00% in the wake of the dot-com bubble bursting.

When the FOMC raises the target range, it becomes more expensive for consumers to borrow money. Since the slew of hikes in the last two years, for example, the average credit card interest rate soared from 16.34% in March 2022 to nearly 21% in April 2024.

That sounds bad, but it can help slow the economy and lower inflation: When the Fed lowers the benchmark rate, it becomes easier to borrow. That sounds great, but it opens the door for a possible spike in inflation.

What to do while waiting for interest rates to go down

It could be a while before rates drop, but there are still things you can do to get ready.

Open a certificate of deposit

When the Fed lowers rates, annual percentage yields (APY) on savings accounts dip, too. But rates on CDs are locked in when you open the account and stay fixed even if APYs decline.

A high-yield Ally Bank® CD with an 18-month term has a 4.25% APY, with no monthly fees or minimum deposit requirements.

Ally Bank® CDs

Ally Bank® is a Member FDIC.

  • Annual Percentage Yield (APY)

    From 3.00% to 4.50% APY

  • Terms

    From 3 months to 5 years

  • Minimum balance

    None

  • Monthly fee

    None

  • Early withdrawal penalty fee

    High Yield CDs and Raise Your Rate CDs have early withdrawal penalties that vary based on your CD term. With the No Penalty CD, withdraw all your money any time after the first 6 days following the date you funded the account and keep the interest earned with no penalty.

Terms apply.

Prime your credit score

If you've been waiting for rates to go down to apply for a mortgage or personal loan, now's the time to get your ducks in a row. Your credit score is one of the biggest factors lenders use to determine whether you'll get approved and the rate you'll be offered. A credit score of 620 is considered the baseline for a conventional mortgage, but if you boost your score to at least 750, you could qualify for the most competitive rates.

  • Make on-time payments in full. Payment history is the most important element of your credit score. (You'll also avoidlate fees and interest charges.)
  • Request higher credit limits. A solid record of on-time payments or a bump in income is usually necessary, but if you can raise your credit limit and keep your balance the same, it'll lower your credit utilization ratio, which accounts for 30% of your FICO® Score. (Just don't think of the additional credit as a green light for spending more.)
  • Hold off on new lines of credit. The application could require a hard inquiry that dings your credit and, if you're approved, it will lower the average age of your accounts.

eCredable Lift® is a paid service that sends information about positive utility payments to TransUnion, one of thethree major credit-reporting agencies. Utility companies aren't typically included on credit reports, so on-time payments wouldn't otherwise help you build credit.

For $9.95 a month, you can link up to eight accounts — including your phone and internet — and report up to 24 months of payment data. For $14.95 a month,eCredable LiftLocker™ adds budgeting tools, identity theft alerts andcredit monitoring, among other benefits.

eCredable

On Ecredable's secure site

  • Cost

    $9.95 per month for eCredableLift®
    $14.95 per month for eCredableLiftLocker

  • Credit report affected

    Transunion®

  • Credit scoring model used

    FICO® Score 8 (or newer) or VantageScore® 3 (or newer)

Results vary. See website for details.

How to sign up for eCredable:

  1. Link your eligible utility company accounts to eCredable
  2. Receive an updatedVantageScore® and/or FICO® Score

Learn more about eligible payments and how eCredable works.

*Experian Boost™ also adds household payments to your report, but it's free and it works with Experian, rather than TransUnion. According to the company, users whose FICO Scores improve see an average increase of 13 points.

Experian Boost™

On Experian's secure site

  • Cost

    Free

  • Average credit score increase

    13 points, though results vary

  • Credit report affected

    Experian®

  • Credit scoring model used

    FICO® Score

Results will vary. See website for details.

How to sign up for Experian Boost:

  1. Connect the bank account(s) you use to pay your bills
  2. Choose and verify the positive payment data you want added to your Experian credit file
  3. Receive an updatedFICO® Score

Learn more about eligible payments and how Experian Boost works.

What to do when rates go down

Here are a few financial options to consider once the Fed does slash interest rates.

Refinance your mortgage

If you bought your home when rates were peaking in 2023, now would be a good time to refinance. After the Fed cuts the fed fund rate, mortgage rates should follow suit.

One of CNBC Select's top picks for mortgage refinancing, Ally Bank offers fixed and adjustable rate terms with no application, origination, processing or underwritingfees. That can save you thousands.

Ally Home

  • Annual Percentage Rate (APR)

    Apply online for personalized rates; fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages included

  • Types of loans

    Fixed-rate, adjustable-rate and jumbo loans available

  • Fixed-rate Terms

    15 – 30 years

  • Adjustable-rate Terms

    5/6 ARM, 7/6 ARM, 10/6 ARM

  • Credit needed

    Not disclosed

Terms apply.

Refinance your student loans

Interest on student loans should also fall after the Fed makes cuts. Borrowers have felt the squeeze since the three-year moratorium on payments ended in October 2023.

Read on: Best student loan refinance companies

SoFi offers terms of up to 20 years for refinancing student loans, with a 0.25% discount on your rate if you sign up for monthly autopay.

SoFi

  • Eligible borrowers

    Undergraduate and graduate students, parents, health professionals

  • Loan amounts

    $5,000 minimum (or up to state); maximum up to cost of attendance

  • Loan terms

    Range from 5 to 15 years; up to 20 years for refinancing loans

  • Loan types

    Variable and fixed

  • Co-signer required?

    No

  • Offer student loan refinancing?

    Yes - click here for details

Terms apply.

Pay off high-interest credit cards

Once rates go down, the annual percentage rate (APR) on your credit cards will likely drop, as well, making it easier to polish off those balances.

So, prioritize making sizeable payments now before rates go up again later.

Compare and find the best CD

FAQ

The Federal Reserve has indicated that there's a good chance it would cut rates later in 2024.

The Federal Reserve Board will meet next from April 30 to May 1, 2024.

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Bottom Line

The Federal Reserve has six more chances to cut rates in 2024. When it happens, all kinds of borrowing will be easier for the average American. There are several smart money moves you can make before then, too

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Read more

3 money moves to make before interest rates go down

What the federal funds rate is and how it affects your wallet

The best high-yield savings accounts

These are the 6 best banks for CDs

*Results may vary. Some may not see improved scores or approval odds. Not all lenders use Experian credit files, and not all lenders use scores impacted by Experian Boost.

Editorial Note: Opinions, analyses, reviews or recommendations expressed in this article are those of the Select editorial staff’s alone, and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any third party.

Here's when the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in 2024 (2024)

FAQs

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in 2024? ›

As recently as their last meeting on March 20, the officials had projected three rate reductions in 2024, likely starting in June. But given the persistence of elevated inflation, financial markets now expect just one rate cut this year, in November, according to futures prices tracked by CME FedWatch.

What happens when the feds cut rates? ›

When the Fed cuts rates, the objective is to stabilize prices (control inflation) and stimulate economic growth; as lowering finance costs can spur businesses and consumers to invest as well as borrow.

Will CD rates go up in 2024? ›

The Fed boosted its benchmark federal funds rate numerous times throughout 2022 and the first half of 2023, finally holding rates steady at a target range of 5.25% to 5.50% through the second half of 2023. Rates may eventually begin to decline in 2024.

What is the prime rate forecast for 2024? ›

Historical Data
DateValue
December 31, 20243.50%
September 30, 20245.75%
June 30, 20245.75%
March 31, 20245.75%
21 more rows

What will interest rates be in 2025? ›

Now, Fannie Mae expects rates to be a half-percent higher (6.4%) by the end of this year, and remain above 6% for another two years, gradually declining to a flat 6% by fourth-quarter 2025. Freddie Mac's latest data shows the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently around 6.74%.

What will interest rates look like in 5 years? ›

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

What happens to the stock market when interest rates are cut? ›

As a general rule of thumb, when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it causes the stock market to go up; when the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, it causes the stock market to go down. But there is no guarantee as to how the market will react to any given interest rate change.

What happens to gold if Fed cut rates? ›

This makes earlier interest-rate cuts by the Fed more likely in the eyes of market participants, heaping pressure on the U.S. dollar and causing bond yields to fall, both tailwinds for gold, said Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch.

How long until Fed lowers rates? ›

After the last meeting meeting, the Fed predicted three quarter-point cuts by the end of this year. As time goes on, however, that becomes less of a certainty. Some economists have even suggested rates won't budge until March 2025.

What is the best CD rate for $100,000 today? ›

Compare the Highest Jumbo CD Rates
InstitutionRate (APY)Minimum Deposit
GTE Financial5.38%$100,000
Credit One Bank5.35%$100,000
Third Federal Savings & Loan5.25%$100,000
CD Bank5.25%$100,000
13 more rows

Can you get 6% on a CD? ›

You can find 6% CD rates at a few financial institutions, but chances are those rates are only available on CDs with maturities of 12 months or less. Financial institutions offer high rates to compete for business, but they don't want to pay customers ultra-high rates over many years.

Should I lock in a CD now or wait? ›

Waiting to open a CD could mean missing out on some stellar rates. Now, you can lock in high rates on both short-term and long-term CDs, and you can score some serious interest just by opting to deposit a larger lump sum into your CD.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

It's possible that rates will one day go back down to 3%, though if current trends hold that's not likely to happen anytime soon.

How many rate cuts are expected in 2024? ›

WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal Reserve officials signaled Wednesday that they still expect to cut their key interest rate three times in 2024, fueling a rally on Wall Street, despite signs that inflation remained elevated at the start of the year.

Will CD rates go up in 2025? ›

CD rates should remain fairly attractive in 2025

Just as the Fed raised interest rates when inflation soared, the central bank is expected to start cutting interest rates now that inflation has cooled.

Will auto interest rates go down in 2024? ›

Auto loan rates are expected to stop rising and possibly start descending in 2024, but they'll likely remain elevated in comparison to recent years (alongside the broader interest rates environment).

What is the future of the Federal Reserve interest rate? ›

Since July 2023, the Federal Reserve has kept the federal-funds rate at a target range of 5.25% to 5.50%, far above typical levels over the past decade. But we expect Fed officials to deliver hefty cuts over the next two to three years and bring the federal-funds rate to 1.75% to 2.00% by year-end 2026.

Will inflation go down in 2024? ›

Is Inflation Ever Going to Go Down? Our base case is that inflation will return to normal in the second half of 2024, even as real GDP growth remains positive in year-over-year terms. This is referred by economists as a “soft landing.”

What is the expected trend of Fed funds interest rates through 2024 Chegg? ›

Initially lower rates declining to 4:5% in 1123, then gradually higher rates increasing to around 5.32% in late 2024Initially highe ratesipalking a ound 5.4% n 123, then-gradually lower rates falling to a round 4.32% in late 2024 .

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